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Tompkins Hosted 2005 Market Forecast

Washington, D.C., February, 2005
Tompkins Builders, Inc. hosted the 2005 Market Forecast Breakfast Meeting and Presentation at the National Press Club in Washington, D.C. The keynote speaker, Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. is renown in the industry. He is the Dwight Schar Faculty Chair, University Professor, and Director, Center for Regional Analysis School of Public Policy at George Mason University. He currently serves on the Board of Directors of Tompkins Builders, Inc.

Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. expounded on the economic outcomes of 2004 to provide context for his market forecast for 2005. As expected, the U.S. economy accelerated in 2004 with job growth lagging behind, but job growth should peak this year, he explained. This exceptional economic performance is not sustainable, Dr. Fuller cautioned, as it generally results in higher inflation and costs, but should become more sustainable as the economy slows.

“The Washington economy outperformed all major metropolitan areas nationwide in [2004] because it is different,” Dr Fuller said. The nation’s capital, according to Dr. Fuller, “has benefited from its unique and unusually interdependent economic structure that is centered on its national capital functions and includes substantial spending by the federal government.”

The Washington area’s 70,500 new jobs in 2004 accounted for 4 percent of the nation’s new jobs last year, he explained. “This level of job growth was well ahead of the Washington area’s long-term average (1980 - 2003) of 52,000 new jobs annually,” he continued. The area’s strong economic performance over this decade is critical to its long-term vitality and the 50 percent increase in jobs (1.75 million) projected by 2030, Dr. Fuller added. If achieved, he continued, the gross regional product would double over the next 25 years.

Dr. Fuller concluded by addressing how employment affects real estate development, and how the stock market will change by 2009, making bond investment a safer option than stocks. His monthly economic indicator reports are available on the Center for Regional Analysis web site (www.cra-gmu.org).

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Tompkins Builders, Inc.
(202) 898-5748
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